26-11-2012 — /europawire.eu/ — Royal Dutch Shell plc (“Shell”) hosted a management day with investors today, focusing on global gas and Asia Pacific Upstream.
Global primary energy demand could double to 400 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (“Mboe/d”) in the first half of the 21st century, from some 200 Mboe/d in 2000, and 270 Mboe/d in 2011, driven by the non-OECD economies. Some two thirds of energy consumption in 2030 could be in the non-OECD, compared to 56% today.
Meeting this growth in demand will require large scale and sustained investment in all forms of energy, with an energy mix that is 80% hydrocarbons today, and it will be dominated by hydrocarbons for some time to come.
Natural gas, which is the cleanest burning fossil fuel, has an important role to play, with more than 250 years of global supply established, and emerging exploration potential, especially in shale gas. Shell expects global natural gas demand to increase by 60% from 2010 to 2030, reaching 25% of the global primary energy mix and within that, strong growth in LNG.
LNG demand has doubled to 200 million tonnes per annum (“mtpa”) in the first decade of this century. Shell expects LNG demand to double again to 400 mtpa by 2020, and potentially reach 500 mtpa by 2025. Meeting this demand growth will require substantial industry investment – potentially more than $700 billion – and continued innovation and interdependency between supplier and customer countries.
Shell is the industry leader in LNG and in gas-to-liquids, and is developing innovative new integrated applications, such as gas-to-chemicals, converting ethane into commercial petrochemicals, and LNG for transport, which offers a lower emission and lower cost alternative to oil fuels.
Shell has 22 mtpa of LNG on stream today, and is building 7 mtpa of new LNG capacity in Australia that will increase Shell production by 30%. In addition, the company is maturing over 20 mtpa of further LNG options, in Australia, Indonesia and North America, that should drive Shell’s LNG leadership into the next decade.
For the longer term, Shell has gas-focused exploration programmes in exciting acreage positions such as China, South Africa and Ukraine, which have large scale resources potential, and is assessing over 5 mtpa of LNG to transport opportunities world-wide.
Voser concluded: “Technological innovation continues to differentiate Shell from our competition and today Shell is the industry leader in LNG, FLNG and GTL.”
“We are using Shell’s scale and innovation to continue to drive gas growth through integrated value chains. Our portfolio and opportunity set in global gas is unrivalled in the industry today. There is more to come from Shell”.
This press release contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this press release, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this press release are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December, 2011 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this press release, 14 November 2012. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this press release. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this press release in the future, or that they will be made at all.
We use certain terms in this press release, such as resources, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330
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